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History of Science and Engineering

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An Analysis of the Sustainable Development of the «Climate Society» System
Krapivin V.F., Potapov I.I., Soldatov V.Yu.

The problems considered in this paper include wide spectrum of theoretical and applied tasks solution of which inevitably lead to the
problem of global climate change. A search of the causes of these changes is came to the synthesis of geoecological information-modeling
system (GIMS) involving the most signifi cant direct and indirect correlations in the environment. Therefore, critical weighed analysis of
existing approaches to the defi nition of sustainable development of present civilization and choice of the most adequate criterion for the
humanity survivability is the subject of this paper. A sustainable development problem is considered together with the globalization problem
taking into consideration of different factors connected with irregular economic, politic and social development of countries. Actual data are
discussed concerning the natural resources use and environmental changes that refl ect global ecodynamics of present consumption society
and its perspectives. Under this, specifi c attention is given to the problem connected with energy consumption and to the water resources. It is
marked that modeling the dynamics of the world population size is important component of sustainable development.
Keywords: climate; society; prognosis; demography; scenario; anthropogenic impacts.


DOI: 10.25791/intstg.9.2024.1500

Pp. 26-39.

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